Survey shows major decline in smoking rates in Pakistan

Islamabad: A recent survey by Islamabad's Center for Research and Dialogue (CRD) reveals an 18% decline in smoking rates in Pakistan, attributed to rising cigarette prices.

This decline underscores the effectiveness of high tobacco taxes, a strategy endorsed by the World Health Organization (WHO).

The survey reported a significant reduction in cigarette consumption, with 15% of respondents cutting back due to increased prices. This reduction translates to approximately 11 billion fewer cigarettes smoked annually. Pakistan's total cigarette consumption, which ranges from 72 to 80 billion sticks per year, includes taxed, smuggled, and untaxed products.

While these findings are promising, the survey noted that Pakistan still has some of the world's cheapest cigarettes, indicating a need for further tax hikes to effectively curb smoking.

The government's decision to raise the Federal Excise Duty (FED) rates by 146% for cheaper brands and 154% for premium brands in 2023 has been a crucial factor in the smoking rate decline. However, despite these increases, cigarette prices in Pakistan remain lower than in other South Asian countries.

The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) also support stronger taxation, acknowledging the link between higher prices and lower consumption.

The survey results, combined with international examples, strengthen the argument for price hikes as an effective tool to reduce smoking rates. As Pakistan moves forward, evidence-based policies promoting public health and fiscal responsibility are crucial. Building on this momentum can lead to a healthier and more prosperous Pakistan.